Kings vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - January 4

Tampa Bay Lightning v Seattle Kraken

Photo: Getty Images

The Los Angeles Kings (22-10-5), winners of eight straight home games, host the Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-2) at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Before this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Saturday's hockey game.

The Lightning have put up a 6-4-0 record over their last 10 games. They have totaled 37 goals while conceding 21 in that period. On the power play, 29 opportunities have resulted in eight goals (27.6% success rate).

Kings vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final score of Kings 4, Lightning 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Kings (-125)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Kings Splits and Trends

  • The Kings are 1-5-6 in overtime contests as part of a 22-10-5 overall record.
  • Los Angeles is 7-1-4 (18 points) in its 12 games decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Kings registered only one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Los Angeles has scored two goals in nine games this season (2-5-2 record, six points).
  • The Kings have scored more than two goals 22 times, and are 20-0-2 in those games (to register 42 points).
  • In the 12 games when Los Angeles has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 10-1-1 record (21 points).
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Los Angeles is 14-8-2 (30 points).
  • The Kings' opponents have had more shots in 11 games. The Kings finished 7-2-2 in those matchups (16 points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning (20-13-2 overall) have posted a record of 3-2-5 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
  • In the 10 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up nine points.
  • This season the Lightning scored just one goal in three games and they finished 0-2-1 in those matchups.
  • Tampa Bay failed to win all six games this season when it scored exactly two goals.
  • The Lightning have scored three or more goals in 26 games, earning 41 points from those contests.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal in 11 games has a record of 7-4-0 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 11-6-0 (22 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 15 games, going 8-5-2 to record 18 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Kings Rank Kings AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
12th 3.14 Goals Scored 3.86 1st
3rd 2.54 Goals Allowed 2.8 10th
22nd 27.3 Shots 27.9 20th
1st 24.8 Shots Allowed 28.6 16th
27th 16.13% Power Play % 26.42% 3rd
9th 82.3% Penalty Kill % 81.82% 11th

Kings vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

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