Lightning vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - February 6

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (28-20-4) take on the Ottawa Senators (29-21-4) at Amalie Arena on Thursday, February 6 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning defeated the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in their last game, while the Senators are coming off a 4-3 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning.

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As hockey play continues, prepare for the contest by checking out which team we predict will win Thursday's game.

Over the last 10 outings for the Senators (7-3-0), their offense has scored 31 goals while their defense has conceded 23 goals. They have had 37 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored nine goals (24.3%).

Lightning vs. Senators Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final tally of Lightning 4, Senators 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-162)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 28-20-4 record overall, with a 5-4-9 record in games that have gone to overtime.
  • Tampa Bay is 7-7-3 (17 points) in its 17 games decided by one goal.
  • In the six games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they finished 0-5-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored two goals (registering two points).
  • The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 35 games (28-6-1, 57 points).
  • In the 16 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it registered 20 points after finishing 10-6-0.
  • In the 28 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 16-12-0 (32 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Lightning finished 11-6-4 in those matchups (26 points).

Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators have earned a record of 7-4-11 in overtime games to contribute to an overall mark of 29-21-4.
  • In the 21 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 29 points.
  • This season the Senators recorded just one goal in five games and they lost every time.
  • Ottawa has nine points (4-7-1) when scoring two goals this season.
  • The Senators have scored more than two goals in 31 games, earning 52 points from those contests.
  • This season, Ottawa has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 16 games has a record of 8-6-2 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Ottawa has posted a record of 15-10-1 (31 points).
  • The Senators' opponents have had more shots in 25 games. The Senators went 13-10-2 in those contests (28 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Senators AVG Senators Rank
3rd 3.46 Goals Scored 2.87 17th
10th 2.79 Goals Allowed 2.69 6th
10th 29.3 Shots 29.9 6th
15th 28.4 Shots Allowed 27.5 11th
5th 26.32% Power Play % 23.46% 10th
11th 81.2% Penalty Kill % 78.34% 19th

Lightning vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

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