Hurricanes vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - March 11

The Carolina Hurricanes (38-22-4) will aim to continue a four-game win streak when they take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (37-22-4) at home on Tuesday, March 11 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Tuesday's hockey action.

During the past 10 outings for the Lightning, their offense has put up 38 goals while their defense has conceded 21 (they have an 8-2-0 record in those games). In 25 power-play opportunities during that time, they have capitalized with six goals (24.0% success rate).

Hurricanes vs. Lightning Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Hurricanes 4, Lightning 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Hurricanes (-137)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Hurricanes Splits and Trends

• The Hurricanes have finished 5-4-9 in overtime contests as part of an overall record of 38-22-4.
• In the 18 games Carolina has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 12-4-2 record (good for 26 points).
• In the five games this season the Hurricanes recorded just one goal, they lost every time.
• Carolina has taken 10 points from the 13 games this season when it scored two goals (4-7-2 record).
• The Hurricanes are 34-5-2 in the 41 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 70 points).
• In the 21 games when Carolina has recorded a single power-play goal, it has an 11-7-3 record (25 points).
• In the 49 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Carolina is 29-16-4 (62 points).
• The Hurricanes have been outshot by opponents in 14 games, going 8-6-0 to record 16 points.

Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have posted a record of 5-4-9 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall mark of 37-22-4.
• In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 19 points.
• This season the Lightning scored just one goal in seven games and they finished 0-6-1 in those matchups.
• Tampa Bay has two points (0-8-2) in 10 games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
• The Lightning have scored more than two goals 44 times, earning 75 points from those matchups (37-6-1).
• This season, Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 23 games and picked up 34 points with a record of 17-6-0.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 19-13-0 (38 points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 27 games, going 17-6-4 to record 38 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Hurricanes vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, March 11, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: PNC Arena in Raleigh, North Carolina

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