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A game after Tomas Hertl recorded a hat trick in the Vegas Golden Knights' 6-3 win against the Detroit Red Wings, the Golden Knights (41-20-8) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (40-24-5) on Sunday at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Before this matchup, here's who we predict to emerge victorious in Sunday's hockey contest.
In the past 10 games, the Lightning are 5-4-1 while scoring 31 goals against 28 goals allowed. On 29 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored five goals (17.2%).
Golden Knights vs. Lightning Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Golden Knights 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Golden Knights (-120)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Golden Knights Splits and Trends
- The Golden Knights (41-20-8 overall) have a 3-8-11 record in matchups that have required overtime.
- In the 22 games Vegas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 10-7-5 record (good for 25 points).
- In the five games this season the Golden Knights scored only one goal, they went 1-2-2 (four points).
- Vegas has scored exactly two goals in nine games this season (1-7-1 record, three points).
- The Golden Knights have scored three or more goals in 51 games (39-7-5, 83 points).
- In the 28 games when Vegas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 14-10-4 to register 32 points.
- When it has outshot its opponent, Vegas is 30-13-3 (63 points).
- The Golden Knights have been outshot by opponents 21 times, and went 11-6-4 (26 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have earned a record of 6-5-11 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall mark of 40-24-5.
- In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 19 points.
- This season the Lightning registered just one goal in eight games and they finished 0-7-1 in those matchups.
- Tampa Bay has six points (2-8-2) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 47 games, earning 78 points from those contests.
- This season, Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal in 26 games has a record of 18-7-1 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 22-14-0 (44 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 29 times this season, and earned 39 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Golden Knights Rank | Golden Knights AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4th | 3.36 | Goals Scored | 3.49 | 2nd |
| 7th | 2.68 | Goals Allowed | 2.68 | 7th |
| 4th | 30.4 | Shots | 28.8 | 10th |
| 5th | 26.5 | Shots Allowed | 28.2 | 15th |
| 2nd | 29.81% | Power Play % | 25.77% | 5th |
| 24th | 75.71% | Penalty Kill % | 82.18% | 7th |
Golden Knights vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada
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