The New York Islanders (32-29-10) will aim to break a three-game losing streak when they face the Tampa Bay Lightning (42-25-5) on the road on Saturday, March 29 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we expect to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey game.
Over the last 10 outings for the Islanders (4-3-3), their offense has totaled 27 goals while their defense has conceded 28 goals. They have recorded 31 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored four goals (12.9%).
Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final result of Lightning 4, Islanders 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-251)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning (42-25-5 overall) have a 6-5-11 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
- Tampa Bay has 19 points (8-8-3) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the eight games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
- Tampa Bay has taken six points from the 13 games this season when it scored two goals (2-9-2 record).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 49 games (40-7-2, 82 points).
- In the 29 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 41 points after finishing 20-8-1.
- In games when it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 23-15-0 (46 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 30 games. The Lightning went 18-7-5 in those matchups (41 points).
Islanders Splits and Trends
- The Islanders have a 32-29-10 record this season and are 7-10-17 in contests that have needed overtime.
- New York has earned 32 points (12-7-8) in its 27 games decided by one goal.
- Across the 12 games this season the Islanders ended with just one goal, they have earned three points.
- New York has six points (3-6-0) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Islanders have scored at least three goals 43 times, earning 64 points from those matchups (29-8-6).
- This season, New York has recorded a single power-play goal in 13 games has a record of 10-2-1 in those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 16-20-3 (35 points).
- The Islanders' opponents have had more shots in 30 games. The Islanders went 16-7-7 in those contests (39 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Islanders AVG | Islanders Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.57 | Goals Scored | 2.72 | 25th |
| 5th | 2.64 | Goals Allowed | 2.99 | 17th |
| 11th | 28.8 | Shots | 29.1 | 9th |
| 14th | 28 | Shots Allowed | 28.8 | 20th |
| 7th | 25.98% | Power Play % | 12% | 32nd |
| 5th | 82.32% | Penalty Kill % | 72.26% | 30th |
Lightning vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, March 29, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
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