Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - April 1

Two streaking squads face off when the Tampa Bay Lightning (43-25-5) visit the New York Islanders (32-31-10) at UBS Arena on Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have won three in a row, while the Islanders are on a five-game losing streak.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a peek at which squad we think will bring home the victory in Tuesday's action on the ice.

The Islanders have scored 29 goals over their past 10 outings, while giving up 33 goals. A total of 31 power-play opportunities during that span have resulted in four power-play goals (12.9%). They are 3-4-3 over those contests.

Lightning vs. Islanders Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Islanders 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-172)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 6-5-11 in overtime matchups on their way to a 43-25-5 overall record.
  • Tampa Bay has 19 points (8-8-3) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the eight games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
  • Tampa Bay has finished 2-9-2 in the 13 games this season when it scored two goals (registering six points).
  • The Lightning are 41-7-2 in the 50 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 84 points).
  • In the 29 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 20-8-1 to register 41 points.
  • When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 23-15-0 (46 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 31 games. The Lightning went 19-7-5 in those matchups (43 points).

Islanders Splits and Trends

  • The Islanders have a 7-10-17 record in overtime games this season and a 32-31-10 overall record.
  • In the 27 games New York has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 32 points.
  • This season the Islanders scored just one goal in 12 games and have gone 0-9-3 (three points).
  • When New York has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned six points (3-6-0 record).
  • The Islanders have scored three or more goals 45 times, earning 64 points from those matchups (29-10-6).
  • New York has scored a lone power-play goal in 15 games this season and has recorded 21 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, New York is 16-22-3 (35 points).
  • The Islanders' opponents have had more shots in 30 games. The Islanders finished 16-7-7 in those contests (39 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Islanders AVG Islanders Rank
2nd 3.59 Goals Scored 2.74 25th
6th 2.64 Goals Allowed 3.05 19th
11th 28.7 Shots 29.3 6th
14th 28.1 Shots Allowed 28.7 20th
6th 25.98% Power Play % 12.64% 31st
7th 81.97% Penalty Kill % 72.33% 30th

Lightning vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, April 1, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

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