Two squads at opposite ends of their conference's standings, the Tampa Bay Lightning (fourth in the Eastern Conference at 44-26-5) and the Buffalo Sabres (15th in the Eastern Conference at 32-36-6), square off on Saturday, April 5 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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As hockey play continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which club we predict will win Saturday's game.
The Sabres are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games, scoring 41 goals while conceding 33 in that time. On 29 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored eight goals (27.6%).
Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Lightning 4, Sabres 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-217)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Sabres (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have finished 6-5-11 in overtime contests on their way to an overall record of 44-26-5.
- Tampa Bay has 19 points (8-9-3) in the 20 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the nine games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
- Tampa Bay has taken six points from the 13 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (2-9-2 record).
- The Lightning have scored three or more goals 51 times, and are 42-7-2 in those games (to record 86 points).
- In the 29 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it registered 41 points after finishing 20-8-1.
- When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-16-0 (46 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 32 games, going 20-7-5 to register 45 points.
Sabres Splits and Trends
- The Sabres have earned a record of 6-6-12 in overtime contests on their way to an overall mark of 32-36-6.
- Buffalo has earned 27 points (11-7-5) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Sabres recorded just one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
- Buffalo has three points (1-14-1) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Sabres have scored more than two goals in 46 games, earning 65 points from those contests.
- This season, Buffalo has scored a single power-play goal in 29 games and registered 23 points with a record of 11-17-1.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Buffalo is 12-13-2 (26 points).
- The Sabres have been outshot by opponents in 46 games, going 20-22-4 to record 44 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Sabres AVG | Sabres Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.56 | Goals Scored | 3.26 | 8th |
| 5th | 2.61 | Goals Allowed | 3.54 | 29th |
| 11th | 28.7 | Shots | 27.3 | 23rd |
| 14th | 28 | Shots Allowed | 28.9 | 23rd |
| 8th | 25.12% | Power Play % | 18.31% | 26th |
| 5th | 82.11% | Penalty Kill % | 76.34% | 22nd |
Lightning vs. Sabres Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York
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