Photo: Bruce Bennett / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Washington Capitals (11-8-2) will attempt to extend a three-game win streak when they square off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (11-7-2) at home on Saturday, Nov. 22 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Here's our pick for who will capture the victory in Saturday's matchup.
During the last 10 games for the Lightning, their offense has totaled 32 goals while their defense has given up 25 (they have a 7-3-0 record in those games). In 30 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored five goals (16.7% conversion rate).
Capitals vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final score of Capitals 4, Lightning 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-118)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Capitals Splits and Trends
- The Capitals are 1-2-3 in overtime contests on their way to an 11-8-2 overall record.
- Washington is 3-3-0 (six points) in its six games decided by one goal.
- In the four games this season the Capitals recorded only one goal, they've finished 1-3-0 (two points).
- Washington has finished 1-1-1 in the three games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering three points).
- The Capitals have scored more than two goals 13 times, and are 9-3-1 in those games (to register 19 points).
- In the six games when Washington has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 5-1-0 record (10 points).
- In games when it has outshot opponents, Washington is 5-5-1 (11 points).
- The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in seven games, going 6-1-0 to record 12 points.
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have an 11-7-2 record this season and are 3-2-5 in matchups that have required overtime.
- In the 12 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
- This season the Lightning registered just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- Tampa Bay has earned seven points (3-4-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
- The Lightning have scored three or more goals 11 times, earning 16 points from those matchups (8-3-0).
- Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal in six games this season and has registered nine points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 4-3-1 (nine points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 12 games, going 7-4-1 to record 15 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Capitals Rank | Capitals AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10th | 3.24 | Goals Scored | 3.05 | 16th |
| 3rd | 2.62 | Goals Allowed | 2.85 | 11th |
| 7th | 29.6 | Shots | 27 | 20th |
| 10th | 26.5 | Shots Allowed | 27.6 | 15th |
| 24th | 16.13% | Power Play % | 15.38% | 26th |
| 29th | 72.06% | Penalty Kill % | 86.15% | 3rd |
Capitals vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
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