Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Prediction & Picks - March 10

Tampa Bay Lightning v New York Islanders

Photo: Bruce Bennett / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (39-19-4) host the Columbus Blue Jackets (32-21-10) at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday, March 10 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with each team heading into the game following a loss. The Lightning are coming off an 8-7 defeat to the Buffalo Sabres, while the Blue Jackets fell to the Los Angeles Kings 5-4 in overtime in their last outing.

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As hockey action continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which club we project to capture the win in Tuesday's game.

The Blue Jackets have recorded a 6-1-3 record in their last 10 contests. They have totaled 37 goals while allowing 28 in that period. On the power play, 19 opportunities have resulted in four goals (21.1% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Blue Jackets 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-239)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have gone 9-4-13 in overtime contests on their way to an overall record of 39-19-4.
  • In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-2 record (good for 18 points).
  • Looking at the seven times this season the Lightning ended a game with just one goal, they have a 2-4-1 record, good for five points.
  • Tampa Bay has taken 11 points from the 13 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (4-6-3 record).
  • The Lightning have scored three or more goals 40 times, and are 33-7-0 in those games (to register 66 points).
  • In the 22 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 13-7-2 to register 28 points.
  • In the 34 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 20-11-3 (43 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 27 times, and went 18-8-1 (37 points).

Blue Jackets Splits and Trends

  • The Blue Jackets have posted a record of 10-10-20 in overtime contests on their way to an overall mark of 32-21-10.
  • Columbus has earned 29 points (10-7-9) in its 26 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • In 11 games this season when the Blue Jackets finished a game with only one goal, they earned a total of six points (2-7-2).
  • Columbus failed to win all eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
  • The Blue Jackets have scored three or more goals in 42 games, earning 68 points from those contests.
  • This season, Columbus has recorded a single power-play goal in 19 games has a record of 12-3-4 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Columbus has posted a record of 18-11-6 (42 points).
  • The Blue Jackets have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 13-9-4 to register 30 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Blue Jackets AVG Blue Jackets Rank
4th 3.53 Goals Scored 3.16 16th
3rd 2.74 Goals Allowed 3.21 23rd
14th 28.4 Shots 29.7 4th
9th 26.9 Shots Allowed 29.8 26th
13th 21.65% Power Play % 19.87% 18th
8th 82% Penalty Kill % 77.84% 23rd

Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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