Lightning vs. Canucks Prediction & Picks - March 19

Vancouver Canucks v Ottawa Senators

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A game after Nikita Kucherov recorded a hat trick in the Tampa Bay Lightning's 6-2 win over the Seattle Kraken, the Lightning (41-21-4) go on the road to take on the Vancouver Canucks (21-38-8) on Thursday at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will emerge with the victory in Thursday's hockey action.

Over the past 10 games, the Canucks have gone 3-5-2 while totaling 26 total goals (five power-play goals on 23 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 21.7%). They have allowed 35 goals.

Lightning vs. Canucks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Canucks 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-313)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Canucks (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 41-21-4 record overall, with a 9-4-13 record in matchups that have required overtime.
  • Tampa Bay is 8-9-2 (18 points) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
  • The seven times this season the Lightning ended a game with only one goal, they went 2-4-1 (five points).
  • Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 15 games this season (4-8-3 record, 11 points).
  • The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 42 games (35-7-0, 70 points).
  • In the 24 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 32 points after finishing 15-7-2.
  • In the 36 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 22-11-3 (47 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 29 games, going 18-10-1 to register 37 points.

Canucks Splits and Trends

  • The Canucks have a 21-38-8 record this season and are 7-8-15 in contests that have needed overtime.
  • Vancouver has earned 20 points (7-8-6) in its 21 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Canucks registered just one goal in 11 games and they finished 0-10-1 in those matchups.
  • Vancouver has 12 points (4-13-4) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Canucks have scored three or more goals 30 times, earning 37 points from those matchups (17-10-3).
  • This season, Vancouver has recorded a single power-play goal in 21 games and picked up 19 points with a record of 8-10-3.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Vancouver is 4-18-2 (10 points).
  • The Canucks have been outshot by opponents in 42 games, going 17-19-6 to register 40 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Canucks AVG Canucks Rank
2nd 3.53 Goals Scored 2.55 31st
4th 2.76 Goals Allowed 3.67 32nd
17th 28 Shots 26.2 25th
10th 27 Shots Allowed 29.6 28th
14th 21.57% Power Play % 18.59% 22nd
8th 81.9% Penalty Kill % 71.43% 32nd

Lightning vs. Canucks Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, March 19, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia

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