Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction & Picks - April 6

Buffalo Sabres v Ottawa Senators

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

A pair of the top teams in the Eastern Conference, the Tampa Bay Lightning (second in the conference at 48-22-6) and the Buffalo Sabres (third at 46-23-8), square off on Monday, April 6 at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which club will bring home the win in Monday's hockey action.

In the past 10 outings for the Sabres (5-3-2), their offense has put up 30 goals while their defense has allowed 28 goals. They have had 28 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored six goals (21.4%).

Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Sabres 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-119)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Sabres (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 48-22-6 overall and 9-6-15 in overtime games.
  • Tampa Bay has 22 points (9-9-4) in the 22 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the eight games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they went 2-5-1 (five points).
  • Tampa Bay has finished 4-8-3 in the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 11 points).
  • The Lightning have scored at least three goals 51 times, and are 42-7-2 in those games (to register 86 points).
  • In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 16-7-3 record (35 points).
  • In the 43 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 26-12-5 (57 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 31 games, going 20-10-1 to record 41 points.

Sabres Splits and Trends

  • The Sabres (46-23-8 overall) have posted a record of 8-8-16 in games that have needed OT this season.
  • Buffalo has earned 28 points (10-3-8) in its 21 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Sabres scored only one goal in eight games and they finished 0-7-1 in those matchups.
  • When Buffalo has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned 12 points (6-9-0 record).
  • The Sabres have earned 87 points in their 51 games with three or more goals scored.
  • This season, Buffalo has recorded a lone power-play goal in 27 games has a record of 18-5-4 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Buffalo has posted a record of 18-11-2 (38 points).
  • The Sabres have been outshot by opponents 46 times this season, and earned 62 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Sabres AVG Sabres Rank
2nd 3.59 Goals Scored 3.39 7th
3rd 2.75 Goals Allowed 3 10th
12th 28.3 Shots 28.2 13th
8th 26.7 Shots Allowed 29.1 23rd
14th 21.3% Power Play % 20.78% 16th
5th 82.28% Penalty Kill % 82.08% 6th

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, April 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: NHL Network
  • Where: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York

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