Lightning vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - April 7

The Ottawa Senators (40-27-10) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (48-23-6) at Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday, April 7 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Senators knocked off the Carolina Hurricanes 6-3 in their most recent game, while the Lightning are coming off a 4-2 loss to the Buffalo Sabres.

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Ahead of this matchup, here's who we expect to emerge victorious in Tuesday's hockey action.

The Lightning have a 6-2-2 record in their past 10 contests. They have scored 36 goals while allowing 26 in that period. On the power play, 30 opportunities have resulted in six goals (20.0% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Senators Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final result of Senators 4, Lightning 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Senators (-134)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Senators Splits and Trends

• The Senators are 40-27-10 overall and 6-10-16 in overtime games.
• In the 32 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 13-10-9 record (good for 35 points).
• In the 10 games this season the Senators scored only one goal, they finished 0-9-1.
• Ottawa has taken 16 points from the 17 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (6-7-4 record).
• The Senators have scored more than two goals 49 times, and are 34-10-5 in those games (to register 73 points).
• In the 26 games when Ottawa has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 15-6-5 record (35 points).
• When it has outshot its opponent, Ottawa is 32-17-3 (67 points).
• The Senators have been outshot by opponents in 22 games, going 7-8-7 to register 21 points.

Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 9-6-15 record in overtime games this season and a 48-23-6 overall record.
• In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 22 points.
• This season the Lightning recorded just one goal in eight games and have gone 2-5-1 (five points).
• When Tampa Bay has scored two goals this season, they've earned 11 points (4-9-3 record).
• The Lightning have scored more than two goals 51 times, earning 86 points from those matchups (42-7-2).
• Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 27 games this season and has recorded 35 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 26-12-5 (57 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 32 games. The Lightning finished 20-11-1 in those matchups (41 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, April 7, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario

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