Lightning vs. Golden Knights Prediction & Picks - Oct. 20

Pittsburgh Penguins v Vegas Golden Knights

Photo: Christian Petersen / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Vegas Golden Knights (8-2, on a three-game winning streak) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-2) at T-Mobile Arena. The contest on Tuesday, Oct. 20 begins at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we expect to take home the victory in Tuesday's hockey game.

Lightning vs. Golden Knights Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final score of Golden Knights 4, Lightning 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Golden Knights (-113)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Golden Knights Splits and Trends

  • The Golden Knights are 8-2 overall and 2-0-2 in overtime contests.
  • Vegas has four points (2-1-0) in the three games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • Vegas finished 1-1-0 in the two games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
  • The Golden Knights have scored more than two goals eight times, and are 7-1-0 in those games (to register 14 points).
  • In the four games when Vegas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 3-1-0 record (six points).
  • In the seven games when it outshot its opponent, Vegas is 6-1-0 (12 points).
  • The Golden Knights have been outshot by opponents in three games, going 2-1-0 to record four points.

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning (6-2 overall) have posted a record of 1-0-1 in contests that have needed OT this season.
  • Tampa Bay has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
  • This season the Lightning recorded only one goal in two games and they lost both times.
  • So far this season, the Lightning have scored three or more goals six times and won each of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in three games this season and won all of those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 5-1-0 (10 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents twice, earning a total of two points across those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Golden Knights Rank Golden Knights AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
3rd 4.1 Goals Scored 3.13 13th
6th 2.4 Goals Allowed 2.63 9th
8th 29.8 Shots 30.9 3rd
8th 25.4 Shots Allowed 23 4th
6th 27.78% Power Play % 10.71% 31st
24th 73.91% Penalty Kill % 75% 22nd

Lightning vs. Golden Knights Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada

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