Lightning vs. Avalanche Prediction & Picks - Oct. 23

Colorado Avalanche v New Jersey Devils

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The Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2), who have won three straight, on Friday, Oct. 23 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Get ready for this matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Friday's game.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this game expects a final tally of Avalanche 4, Lightning 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-130)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche (5-4-1 overall) have a -1-1 record in games that have gone to overtime.
  • Colorado is 1-3-0 (two points) in its four games decided by one goal.
  • Colorado finished 0-2-1 in the three games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering one point).
  • The Avalanche are 5-2-0 in the seven games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 10 points).
  • In the two games when Colorado has recorded a lone power-play goal, it won both times (four points).
  • In games when it has outshot opponents, Colorado is 2-3-1 (five points).
  • The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in three games, going 2-1-0 to register four points.

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a record of 7-2 this season and are 1-0-1 in overtime games.
  • Tampa Bay has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
  • This season the Lightning registered just one goal in two games and they lost both times.
  • So far this season, the Lightning have scored at least three goals seven times and won each of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in four games this season and won all of those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 5-1-0 (10 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents three times this season, and earned four points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
2nd 4.10 Goals Scored 3.44 9th
12th 3.00 Goals Allowed 2.56 7th
3rd 30.6 Shots 29.8 8th
17th 27.3 Shots Allowed 24.2 4th
23rd 18.75% Power Play % 12.90% 28th
10th 82.61% Penalty Kill % 79.17% 17th

Lightning vs. Avalanche Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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