Blackhawks vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - Nov. 5

The Tampa Bay Lightning (9-3-2) take a seven-game home win streak into a matchup against the Chicago Blackhawks (4-11-1), who have lost seven straight on the road, on Thursday, Nov. 5 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which squad we predict will come out on top in Thursday's action on the ice.

During the past 10 outings for the Blackhawks, their offense has totaled 24 goals while their defense has allowed 33 (they have a 3-6-1 record in those games). In 36 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored four goals (11.1% conversion rate).

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final score of Lightning 5, Blackhawks 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-478)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 9-3-2 record overall, with a 1-2-3 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
• Tampa Bay is 2-0-1 (five points) in its three games decided by one goal.
• In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they lost both times.
• The Lightning are 9-1-2 in the 12 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 20 points).
• In the eight games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 6-1-1 to register 13 points.
• In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 7-2-1 (15 points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents four times, and went 2-1-1 (five points).

Blackhawks Splits and Trends

• The Blackhawks (4-11-1 overall) have posted a record of 1-1-2 in matchups that have required OT this season.
• Chicago has earned five points (2-2-1) in its five games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Blackhawks recorded just one goal in three games and they lost every time.
• Chicago has two points (1-4-0) in five games this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
• The Blackhawks have scored three or more goals in six games, earning seven points from those contests.
• This season, Chicago has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in five games has a record of 4-0-1 in those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Chicago has posted a record of 1-1-1 (three points).
• The Blackhawks have been outshot by opponents in 13 games, going 3-10-0 to record six points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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