The Carolina Hurricanes (38-22-4) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (37-22-4) at PNC Arena on Tuesday, March 11 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Hurricanes have won four straight games.

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Here's our pick for who will clinch the victory in Tuesday's matchup.

The Lightning have put up 38 goals in their past 10 outings, while giving up 21 goals. A total of 25 power-play opportunities during that time have netted six power-play goals (24.0%). They are 8-2-0 over those games.

Hurricanes vs. Lightning Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final result of Hurricanes 4, Lightning 3.

Moneyline Pick: Hurricanes (-128)
Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Hurricanes Splits and Trends

The Hurricanes (38-22-4 overall) have a 5-4-9 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
In the 18 games Carolina has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 12-4-2 record (good for 26 points).
In the five games this season the Hurricanes recorded only one goal, they lost every time.
Carolina has finished 4-7-2 in the 13 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 10 points).
The Hurricanes have scored at least three goals 41 times, and are 34-5-2 in those games (to record 70 points).
In the 21 games when Carolina has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 11-7-3 to record 25 points.
In the 49 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Carolina is 29-16-4 (62 points).
The Hurricanes' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Hurricanes finished 8-6-0 in those contests (16 points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have posted a record of 5-4-9 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 37-22-4.
Tampa Bay has earned 19 points (8-8-3) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
This season the Lightning registered just one goal in seven games and they finished 0-6-1 in those matchups.
Tampa Bay has two points (0-8-2) in 10 games this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
The Lightning have scored more than two goals 44 times, earning 75 points from those matchups (37-6-1).
Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 23 games this season and has recorded 34 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 19-13-0 (38 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 27 games, going 17-6-4 to record 38 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

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